Buch
The EurEnDel Scenarios
-Europe's Energy System by 2030-Daniele Velte; Juan P López de Araguas; Oliver Nielsen; Wolfram Jörß u. a.
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Übersicht
Verlag | : | IZT |
Buchreihe | : | Werkstattbericht (Bd. 80) |
Sprache | : | Englisch |
Erschienen | : | 24. 03. 2006 |
Seiten | : | 70 |
Einband | : | Kartoniert |
Höhe | : | 297 mm |
Breite | : | 210 mm |
Gewicht | : | 230 g |
ISBN | : | 9783929173802 |
Sprache | : | Englisch |
Produktinformation
The three qualitative scenarios of Europe’s possible Energy Futures, which are
presented in this document, are based on the findings of the Europe-wide Delphi study
on Energy and Social Visions - EurEnDel. These results have been checked against
multiple inputs from a considerable number of related research projects1.
The experts’ opinions on the 20 technology statements, which were included in the
Delphi Survey, combined with the preferences for socio-economic visions of the future
in the second part of the questionnaire, indicate a broad range of possible future
pathways, but their fulfilment will depend on the political will inside Europe, possible
pressures on the world market and other framework conditions. Thus, the purpose of
displaying the results of the Delphi study in the form of scenarios is twofold:
1. To illustrate the findings of the Delphi survey by putting seemingly unrelated
technology statements and their likely developments into a broader and consistent
context.
2. To build a basis for further research steps within the EurEnDel project, one of
which will be the indication of possible research priorities.
We understand scenarios to be a set of future configurations, which must be at the same
time coherent, probable and possible. This understanding implies that the number of
potential combinations can be and must be reduced, as some are self-exclusive and
others are not desirable, taking into account the European Commission’s policy
priorities. Another element, which marks the character of the scenarios described here,
derives from the basic approach of the research project: i.e. that of discussing energy
technologies within the context of social values. In view of these considerations, the
following questions must be answered: